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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Crewe Alexandra

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Crewe

Eisa (18'), Rose (45')
Mullarkey (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)
White (78')
White (79'), Rowe (85'), O'Riordan (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
50.26% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)26.74% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 60.12% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (0.039000000000001 0.04)40.52% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)62.9% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)16.29% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)45.85% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (0.075999999999993 0.08)28.17% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (0.096000000000004 0.1)63.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 50.26%
    Crewe Alexandra 26.74%
    Draw 23%
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.26%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 26.74%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Holohan (13'), Orsi (82')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town
McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
4-0
Crewe
Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')

Mellor (65')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
0-2
Crewe

Hanson (49')
Lowery (46'), Kirk (91')
Powell (62'), Kirk (92')