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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 35.05% ( | 24.57% ( | 40.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.12% ( | 43.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.73% | 66.26% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( | 24.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( | 58.99% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( | 21.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% ( | 54.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.05% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.37% |