Crewe Alexandra
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 1
Newcastle U21s

Allport (47'), Salisbury (83')
Salisbury (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Huntley (60' pen.)
Carlyon (65')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Crewe
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leicester U21s 0-0 Newcastle U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
48.93% (0.986 0.99)22.74% (-0.052 -0.05)28.34% (-0.929 -0.93)
Both teams to score 62.43% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93% (-0.377 -0.38)38.07% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.66% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)60.34% (0.407 0.41)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (0.21600000000001 0.22)15.87% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92% (0.39100000000001 0.39)45.07% (-0.388 -0.39)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.797 -0.8)25.79% (0.801 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-1.095 -1.1)60.74% (1.098 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 48.93%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 28.34%
    Draw 22.73%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.09 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 28.34%

Head to Head
Sep 29, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Crewe
1-0
Newcastle U21s
Pickering (66')
Lowery (55')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!