EFL Trophy
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Rhys Allport 47' goal
  • Connor Salisbury 58' yellowcard
  • Connor Salisbury 83' goal
  • goal James Huntley 60'
  • yellowcard Nathan Carlyon 65'

Crewe Alexandra vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Crewe 0 - 3 Wrexham

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale 1 - 1 Newcastle U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result

Crewe Alexandra 48.93% (+0.99)
Draw 22.74% (-0.06)
Newcastle United Under-21s 28.34% (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.43% (-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.93% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 38.07% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 39.66% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 60.34% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 21.87% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 78.13% (+0.33)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 84.13% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 15.87% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 54.92% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 45.07% (-0.39)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 74.21% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 25.79% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 39.25% (-1.10)
Under 1.5 60.74% (+1.10)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 48.93%
Draw 22.73%
Newcastle United Under-21s 28.34%
Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 7.53% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 6.94% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 5.77% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.26% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.65% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.96% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 48.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.09% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.73%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.15)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 28.34%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Sep 29, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Tom Lowery 55' yellowcard
  • Harry Pickering 66' goal