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Championship header 2

League Two

Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Walton Road Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Sutton
1 - 1
Crewe

John (28')
Coley (82'), Pereira (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baker-Richardson (17')
Cooney (45'), Bell (46')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Doncaster
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
47.53% (0.025999999999996 0.03)24.08% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)28.38% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.7% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (0.136 0.14)44.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (0.131 0.13)66.7% (-0.128 -0.13)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.062999999999988 0.06)18.78% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81% (0.103 0.1)50.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.073999999999998 0.07)28.96% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.088000000000001 0.09)64.85% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 47.53%
    Crewe Alexandra 28.38%
    Draw 24.08%
Sutton UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 47.53%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.38%

How you voted: Sutton vs Crewe

Sutton United
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
83.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sutton
1-1
Crewe
Rowe (90+3')
Agyei (33')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crewe
1-0
Sutton
Baker-Richardson (12')
Uwakwe (87'), (90')

Eastmond (38'), Beautyman (58')