League Two

League Two | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Bogle (72')
Bogle (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rose (78')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Barnet 1-4 Newport
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Grimsby Town
42.19% ( -0.03)	25.39% ( 0)	32.42% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.5% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.82% (

-0.01)

48.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.66% (

-0.01)

70.33% (

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

-0.02)

22.74% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

-0.03)

56.41% (

0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

0.01)

28.16% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

0.02)

63.84% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Newport County 42.19%

Grimsby Town 32.42%

Draw 25.38%

Newport County	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.19%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.42%