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Championship header 2

League Two

Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Newport County

Tranmere
2 - 1
Newport

Morris (57'), Jennings (88')
Morris (45'), Dennis (90+2'), Jolley (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (22')
Clarke (54'), Bondswell (84'), Morris (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Barnet
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNewport County
41.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)25.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (0.058999999999997 0.06)49.69% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (0.053000000000001 0.05)71.71% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (0.032999999999994 0.03)57.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.042000000000002 0.04)28.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (0.052 0.05)64.71% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 41.74%
    Newport County 32.51%
    Draw 25.74%
Tranmere RoversDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.51%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Tranmere
1-3
Newport
Hendry (90+2')
Wildig (25'), McNeill (29'), Kavanagh (82')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Newport
2-1
Tranmere
Moriah-Welsh (29'), Bogle (38' pen.)
Clarke (82')
Lewis (23' og.)
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Newport
4-2
Tranmere
Lewis (49'), Telford (57' pen., 90+2'), Azaz (87')
Cogley (65'), Demetriou (84' og.)
Warrington (48'), MacDonald (53')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Tranmere
0-1
Newport

Dieseruvwe (74'), Clarke (89')
Fisher (60')
Upson (26')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Tranmere
1-0
Newport
Feeney (7')
Spearing (79'), Lloyd-McGoldrick (90+3')