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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Newport County

Morecambe
1 - 2
Newport

Mellon (12')
Major (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Evans (28'), Palmer-Houlden (57')
Bennett (85')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Morecambe
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawNewport County
42.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)31.7% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.25% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)48.39% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)70.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (0.0039999999999978 0)56.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)28.73% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)64.57% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 42.92%
    Newport County 31.7%
    Draw 25.38%
MorecambeDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.7%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Morecambe
1-0
Newport
Wildig (68')
Wootton (12')
May 31, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
1-0
Newport
Mendes Gomes (107' pen.)
Mendes Gomes (108'), O'Sullivan (112')

Labadie (96'), Demetriou (120')
> Match Report
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-3
Newport
Songo'o (20')
Lavelle (38')
Dolan (8' pen.), Sheehan (45+1'), Ellison (79')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
2-1
Morecambe
Amond (11'), Dolan (83' pen.)
Mendes Gomes (32')
Davis (30'), Hendrie (34'), Phillips (68')
Hendrie (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Newport
1-0
Morecambe
Gorman (69')
Gorman (26'), Dolan (90+5')

Slew (26'), Bradbury (90+7')