/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
-
Michael Mellon
12'
-
Adam Major
90'+6'
-
Will Evans
28'
-
Seb Palmer-Houlden
57'
-
Scot Bennett
85'
Morecambe vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
Morecambe
42.92%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
25.38%
▲
(+0.01)
Newport County
31.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
55.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
48.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
29.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
70.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
14.3%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
85.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
77.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
22.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
43.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
56.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
71.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
28.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
35.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
64.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Morecambe
42.92%
Draw
25.38%
Newport County
31.7%
Morecambe
1-0
@
9.64%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.92%
2-1 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.92%
Draw
1-1
@
12.02%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
Newport County
0-1
@
8.05%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 31.7%
1-2 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 31.7%
