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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Stockport County

Newport
2 - 1
Stockport

Morris (45+5'), McLoughlin (68')
(56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Olaofe (90+6')
Touray (54'), (55')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Newport
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawStockport County
29.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)23.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.061 -0.06)40.24% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)62.61% (0.067 0.07)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)26.43% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)61.61% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.14% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)47.37% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 29.02%
    Stockport County 47.69%
    Draw 23.29%
Newport CountyDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.02%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.51%
0-3 @ 4.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 47.69%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Stockport
4-0
Newport
Wootton (9', 45+3'), Stretton (65'), Knoyle (89')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Newport
1-2
Stockport
Lewis (45')
Hussey (54'), Madden (74')