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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
| 40.04% ( | 25.79% ( | 34.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( | 49.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( | 71.53% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( | 24.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( | 58.8% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( | 27.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( | 63.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.17% |