League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT County Ground
  • Liam Kinsella 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kian Spence 34'
  • goal Sam Foley 58'
  • goal James Chester 73'
  • yellowcard Gerard Garner 83'

Swindon Town vs Barrow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 4 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jake Young

Barrow

All competitions
Last game
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Barrow 2 - 0 Walsall
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Kian Spence

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 34.71% (-0.14)
Draw 24.04% (+0.02)
Barrow 41.25% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.95% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.61% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 41.39% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 36.21% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 63.78% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 19.18% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.82% (+0.08)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.45% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 23.55% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 42.4% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 57.6% (+0.17)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5 79.72% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.28% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 47.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.63% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 34.71%
Draw 24.03%
Barrow 41.25%
Swindon Town
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.9% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.77% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.03%
Barrow
1-2 @ 8.79% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.62% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.08% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 41.25%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
  • goal Louis Reed 7'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josh Davison 22' goal
  • Akin Odimayo 61' yellowcard
  • Louis Reed 85' goal
  • yellowcard Robbie Gotts 24'
  • yellowcard Patrick Brough 73'
  • goal Matthew Platt 83'
  • yellowcard Josh Gordon 90'+8'
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Brown 38' yellowcard
  • Oliver Banks 62' goal
  • Robbie Gotts 71' yellowcard
  • Oliver Banks 77' yellowcard
  • Paul Farman 84' yellowcard
  • Josh Gordon 87' goal
  • James Jones 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Gladwin 32'
  • yellowcard Harry McKirdy 76'
  • yellowcard Jayden Mitchell-Lawson 87'
  • redcard Dion Conroy 90'+6'