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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Barrow

Swindon
0 - 3
Barrow


Kinsella (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Spence (34'), Foley (58'), Chester (73')
Garner (83')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBarrow
34.71% (-0.131 -0.13)24.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)41.25% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.95% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)41.39% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.21% (-0.1 -0.1)63.78% (0.101 0.1)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (-0.116 -0.12)23.55% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.4% (-0.168 -0.17)57.6% (0.168 0.17)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.010999999999996 0.01)20.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)52.63% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 34.71%
    Barrow 41.25%
    Draw 24.03%
Swindon TownDrawBarrow
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 41.25%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Swindon
0-0
Barrow
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barrow
0-1
Swindon
Reed (7' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Swindon
2-1
Barrow
Davison (22'), Reed (85')
Odimayo (61')
Platt (83')
Gotts (24'), Brough (73'), Gordon (90+8')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Barrow
2-0
Swindon
Banks (62' pen.), Gordon (87' pen.)
Brown (38'), Gotts (71'), Banks (77'), Farman (84'), Jones (90+1')

Gladwin (32'), McKirdy (76'), Mitchell-Lawson (87')
Conroy (90+6')