Barrow
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
2 - 1
Liverpool U21s

Etaluku (65'), Ogungbo (75')
Foley (45+1'), Etaluku (53'), White (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Musialowski (29')
Nallo (11'), Nyoni (56'), Morrison (66')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Barrow and Liverpool Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 0-4 West Ham U21s
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawLiverpool Under-21s
42.64% (0.283 0.28)25.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.73% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.181 -0.18)49.44% (0.184 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.163 -0.16)71.48% (0.166 0.17)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.060000000000002 0.06)23.06% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.1% (0.086999999999996 0.09)56.9% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.28800000000001 -0.29)29.24% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.357 -0.36)65.19% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 42.64%
    Liverpool Under-21s 31.73%
    Draw 25.62%
BarrowDrawLiverpool Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.64%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.73%