Burnley vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.