Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 59.67%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.