Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Dec 31, 2023 at 2pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Sarr (9'), Heung-min (71'), Richarlison (80')
Skipp (56'), Emerson (87'), Emerson (88'), Lo Celso (90+3'), Postecoglou (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scott (84')
Kluivert (25'), Senesi (79')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur's Pape Matar Sarr with Rodrigo Bentancur after sustaining an injury on December 31, 2023

Tottenham Hotspur suffer Pape Matar Sarr injury blow

Tottenham Hotspur midfielder Pape Matar Sarr picks up an injury in Sunday's 3-1 home win over Bournemouth.

Dec 31, 19:46

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Spurs
Thursday, December 28 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Fulham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 60.41%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 19.94% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Bournemouth
60.41% ( 0.26)	19.65% ( -0)	19.94% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 63.39% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.65% (

-0.38)

32.35% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.03% (

-0.44)

53.97% (

0.44)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.5% (

-0.05)

10.5% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.83% (

-0.1)

34.17% (

0.11)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-0.46)

29.17% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

-0.57)

65.1% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 60.41%

Bournemouth 19.94%

Draw 19.65%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 60.41%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.65%	1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 19.94%