Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.