FA Cup
Man City
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Bernardo Silva 13' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 31' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 18'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 28'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 90'+3'

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Newcastle United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.36%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 80.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 11.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Newcastle United 8.04% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.09% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 82.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 17.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 65.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 34.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 46.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 53.27% ▲ (+0.03)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 96.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 85.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 14.57% ▲ (+0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 66.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Manchester City 80.88%
Draw 11.07%
Newcastle United 8.04%
Manchester City
3-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36%
2-1 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 3.71%
6-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
6-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.34%
7-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.24%
Total : 80.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58%
0-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 11.07%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 8.04%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 21
Newcastle
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Bruno Guimaraes 21' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 35' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 37' goal
  • goal Bernardo Silva 26'
  • yellowcard Rodri 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 55'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 74'
  • goal Oscar Bobb 90'+1'
EFL Cup
Newcastle
Sep 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Alexander Isak 53' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 69' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 65'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 66'
  • yellowcard Pep Guardiola 78'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Man City
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Julian Alvarez 31' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 23'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 34'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 53'
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 58'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 71'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Man City
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Phil Foden 15' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 67' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Newcastle
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Man City
  • Bruno Guimaraes 8' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 28' goal
  • Fabian Schar 34' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 39' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 54' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 76' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 5'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 18'
  • yellowcard John Stones 52'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 60'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 64'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Man City
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Raheem Sterling 19' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 38' goal
  • Rodri 61' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 75' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 90' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 31'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 70'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 89'

Form Data

Liverpool 1 - 1 Man City
Man City 3 - 1 Copenhagen
Man City 3 - 1 Man Utd
Luton 2 - 6 Man City
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Man City
Man City 1 - 0 Brentford
Chelsea 3 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 3 - 0 Wolves
Blackburn 1 - 1 Newcastle
Arsenal 4 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Nott'm Forest 2 - 3 Newcastle

Build-up

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