Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 0
Brentford

Haaland (71')
Stones (45+2'), Walker (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mee (45+2'), Wissa (60'), Toney (68'), Flekken (90+6')

Reaction

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates after the match on January 26, 2024

Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Bournemouth

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Bournemouth on Saturday.

Feb 21, 12:21

Manchester City's Erling Haaland scores their first goal on February 20, 2024

Pep Guardiola: 'Don't criticise Erling Haaland, he will shut your mouth'

Pep Guardiola warns the critics of Erling Haaland that "he will shut your mouth" after the striker scored a crucial goal in Manchester City's 1-0 Premier League win over Brentford on Tuesday.

Feb 21, 08:05

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates with manager Pep Guardiola after the match on January 13, 2024

Pep Guardiola reveals hamstring injury for Kevin De Bruyne

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola reveals that Kevin De Bruyne was absent from Tuesday's Premier League win over Brentford due to a hamstring issue.

Feb 21, 00:31

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 1-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.32%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 4.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 4-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.96%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Brentford
86.32% ( -1.84)	8.96% ( 0.95)	4.72% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

3.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.88% (

-0.31)

21.12% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.33% (

-0.43)

39.67% (

0.43)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.75% (

-0.29)

3.24% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.63% (

-1)

14.36% (

0.99)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.45% (

3.34)

46.55% (

-3.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.85% (

2.43)

82.14% (

-2.44)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 86.32%

Brentford 4.72%

Draw 8.96%

Manchester City	Draw	Brentford
3-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.75) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.69) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.37) 6-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.26) 5-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.13) 7-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.3) 7-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) 6-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.53% Total : 86.32%	1-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 8.96%	1-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.05% Total : 4.72%