Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
3 - 2
Brentford

Udogie (48'), Johnson (49'), Richarlison (56')
Kulusevski (43'), Donley (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maupay (15'), Toney (67')
Norgaard (17'), Maupay (43'), Yarmolyuk (90')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur manager Ange Postecoglou reacts on January 31, 2024

Ange Postecoglou: 'Players should try UFC if they're so brave'

Ange Postecoglou calls on "brave" players to test their mettle in the UFC cage after Tottenham Hotspur's fiery 3-2 win over London rivals Brentford.

Feb 1, 07:31

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Man City
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Brentford
55.87% ( 0.29)	21.23% ( -0.01)	22.9% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 62.14% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.04% (

-0.29)

35.96% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.94% (

-0.32)

58.06% (

0.32)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

-0.01)

12.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.73% (

-0.02)

39.27% (

0.02)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32% (

-0.39)

28.68% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.5% (

-0.49)

64.5% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 55.87%

Brentford 22.9%

Draw 21.23%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.07% Total : 55.87%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.23%	1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 22.9%