Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.