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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Brentford
3 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Toney (19'), Mee (58'), Maupay (68')
Toney (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Danilo (3'), Wood (65')
Mangala (18'), Danilo (51'), Montiel (54')

The Match

Match Report

Ivan Toney caps his return to football with a goal in Brentford's 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest
52.32% (-1.139 -1.14) 23.86% (0.243 0.24) 23.81% (0.892 0.89)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (-0.14 -0.14)47.02% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-0.13 -0.13)69.26% (0.125 0.13)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.476 -0.48)17.94% (0.47 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (-0.823 -0.82)48.77% (0.819 0.82)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.72 0.72)33.99% (-0.725 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (0.771 0.77)70.67% (-0.776 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 52.32%
    Nottingham Forest 23.81%
    Draw 23.85%
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.178 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Brentford vs Nott'm Forest

Brentford
51.1%
Draw
28.8%
Nottingham Forest
20.1%
139
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Brentford
Dominguez (65')
Niakhate (30'), Sangare (68')
Niakhate (56')
Norgaard (58')
Hickey (2'), Onyeka (88')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brentford
2-1
Nott'm Forest
Toney (82'), Dasilva (90+4')
Danilo (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Nott'm Forest
2-2
Brentford
Gibbs-White (20'), Jorgensen (90+6' og.)
Mbeumo (45+3' pen.), Wissa (75')
Mar 20, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Toney (12' pen.)
Janelt (26'), Dalsgaard (35'), Marcondes (90')
Krovinovic (63')
Mighten (25'), Cafu (67'), Ameobi (78'), Figueiredo (90')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Brentford
Worrall (90+2')
Figueiredo (61'), Samba (64'), Knockaert (79')
Knockaert (90+5')
Dalsgaard (15'), Dasilva (83'), Toney (88')
Toney (64'), Raya (82'), Janelt (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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