Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
3 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Toney (19'), Mee (58'), Maupay (68')
Toney (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Danilo (3'), Wood (65')
Mangala (18'), Danilo (51'), Montiel (54')

The Match

Match Report

Ivan Toney caps his return to football with a goal in Brentford's 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Wolves 3-2 Brentford
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Nottingham Forest
52.32% ( -1.14)	23.86% ( 0.24)	23.81% ( 0.89)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.97% (

-0.14)

47.02% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.73% (

-0.13)

69.26% (

0.13)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

-0.48)

17.94% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.22% (

-0.82)

48.77% (

0.82)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

0.72)

33.99% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.32% (

0.77)

70.67% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Brentford 52.32%

Nottingham Forest 23.81%

Draw 23.85%

Brentford	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 52.32%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.22% Total : 23.81%