/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
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Julian Alvarez
16'
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Julian Alvarez
22'
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Rodri
46'
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Ederson
75'
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Jeremy Doku
81'
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Hjalmar Ekdal
21'
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Connor Roberts
75'
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Ameen Al Dakhil
90'+3'
Manchester City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F05%2Ferling-haaland.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F05%2Fjulian-alvarez_2.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fboubur.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fnatake.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Ferling-haaland.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F50%2Ferling-haaland.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 88.59%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 3.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (1.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Manchester City
88.59%
▼
(-0.82)
Draw
7.84%
▲
(+0.56)
Burnley
3.58%
▲
(+0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
46.53%
▼
(-0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5
78.32%
▼
(-1.76)
Under 2.5
21.69%
▲
(+1.76)
Over 3.5
59.54%
▼
(-2.47)
Under 3.5
40.46%
▲
(+2.47)
Over 4.5
40.06%
▼
(-2.60)
Under 4.5
59.95%
▲
(+2.61)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
96.97%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
3.03%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
86.38%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 1.5
13.62%
▲
(+1.27)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
47.98%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
52.02%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
13.99%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
86.02%
▲
(+0.31)
Score analysis
Manchester City
88.59%
Draw
7.84%
Burnley
3.58%
Manchester City
3-0
@
11.23%
▲
(+0.33)
4-0 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.60)
3-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.11)
5-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.30)
4-1 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.31)
1-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.52)
5-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.26)
6-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.32)
6-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.08)
7-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.24)
5-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.11)
7-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 88.59%
4-0 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.60)
3-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.11)
5-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.30)
4-1 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.31)
1-0 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.52)
5-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.26)
6-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.32)
6-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.08)
7-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.24)
5-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.11)
7-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 88.59%
Draw
1-1
@
3.6%
▲
(+0.30)
2-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 7.84%
2-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 7.84%
Burnley
1-2
@
1.18%
▲
(+0.09)
0-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-90.27)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 3.58%
0-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-90.27)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 3.58%
Head to Head
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F40%2Ferling-haaland.jpg)