Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.58%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 5.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (1.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Everton |
| 85.58% ( | 9.31% ( | 5.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.97% ( | 21.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.45% ( | 39.54% ( |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.67% ( | 3.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.35% ( | 14.65% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.92% ( | 45.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19% ( | 80.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Everton |
| 3-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 4-0 @ 8.38% ( 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 4-1 @ 6.68% ( 5-0 @ 5.7% ( 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 5-1 @ 4.55% ( 6-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 4-2 @ 2.66% ( 6-1 @ 2.58% ( 5-2 @ 1.81% ( 7-0 @ 1.57% ( 7-1 @ 1.25% ( 6-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 4.6% Total : 85.58% | 1-1 @ 4.07% ( 2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 9.31% | 1-2 @ 1.62% ( 0-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 5.11% |