/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fevelog.png)
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Erling Haaland
71'
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Erling Haaland
85'
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Idrissa Gueye
54'
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James Garner
90'+7'
Manchester City vs Everton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2Ferling-haaland_3.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2Ferling-haaland_1.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fkevin-de-bruyne.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2Fphil-foden-erling-haaland-julian-alvarez.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2Ferling-haaland.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F02%2Fpep-guardiola.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.58%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 5.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (1.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Manchester City
85.58%
▼
(-0.22)
Draw
9.31%
▲
(+0.14)
Everton
5.11%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
53.09%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
78.97%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 2.5
21.03%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
60.45%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 3.5
39.54%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 4.5
41.01%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 4.5
58.98%
▲
(+0.54)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
96.67%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
3.33%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
85.35%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 1.5
14.65%
▲
(+0.29)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5
54.92%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
45.08%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
19%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
80.99%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Manchester City
85.58%
Draw
9.31%
Everton
5.11%
Manchester City
3-0
@
9.85%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.06)
5-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
7-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)
7-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.04)
6-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 85.58%
2-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.06)
5-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
7-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)
7-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.04)
6-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 85.58%
Draw
1-1
@
4.07%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 9.31%
2-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 9.31%
Everton
1-2
@
1.62%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 5.11%
0-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 5.11%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2Fsean-dyche-pep-guardiola.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Famadou-onana.JPG)