Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.