FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gomes (42')
Harrison (48'), Calvert-Lewin (85'), Virginia (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lerma (41'), Andersen (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Everton and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Everton 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Everton
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Crystal Palace
41.97% ( 1.11)	26.11% ( -0.18)	31.91% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.59% (

0.46)

51.4% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.77% (

0.4)

73.22% (

-0.41)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

0.78)

24.25% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.38% (

1.09)

58.61% (

-1.1)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

-0.39)

30.09% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76% (

-0.48)

66.23% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Everton 41.96%

Crystal Palace 31.91%

Draw 26.1%

Everton	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.96%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.91%