FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Everton1 - 0Crystal Palace
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Everton
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in FA Cup
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in FA Cup
We said: Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace (a.e.t, Everton to win on penalties)
A 13-day rest ought to have done Palace's shot-shy attackers the world of good, while jellied legs are sure to at least slightly hinder Wednesday's hosts, but their dogged display against a title-chasing Aston Villa is to be commended. The net may therefore ripple at both ends this week, but separating these two sides over the course of normal time and extra time remains an impossible ask. Everton have already lost one penalty shootout in the EFL Cup this term, but we are now backing Dyche's side to learn from that heartache and prevail from 12 yards this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
41.97% ( 1.11) | 26.11% ( -0.18) | 31.91% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
