Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.5%) and 0-1 (6.5%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.