Premier League Gameweek 28
Chelsea
Mar 11, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Newcastle
  • Nicolas Jackson 6' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 39' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 57' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 71' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 72' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 76' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 43'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 90'
  • yellowcard Joe White 90'+6'

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 56.04% ▲ (+0.83)
Draw 21.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Newcastle United 22.85% ▼ (-0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.49% ▼ (-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.52% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 35.48% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 3.5 42.48% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 3.5 57.52% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 4.5 24.17% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 4.5 75.83% ▲ (+0.59)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 87.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 12.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 61.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 38.84% ▼ (-0.07)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 71.55% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 0.5 28.45% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 1.5 35.79% ▼ (-1.23)
Under 1.5 64.22% ▲ (+1.23)

Score analysis

Chelsea 56.04%
Draw 21.11%
Newcastle United 22.85%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.26)
1-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 56.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.11%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 22.85%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Chelsea
Dec 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
Newcastle
  • Moises Caicedo 2' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 71' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+2' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wilson 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 87'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Newcastle
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 2
FT St. James' Park
Chelsea
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 46' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 60' goal
  • Joelinton 61' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 83' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 41'
  • yellowcard Reece James 55'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 59'
  • redcard Reece James 73'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 77'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 81'
Club Friendlies 1
Newcastle
Jul 27, 2023 1.15am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chelsea
  • Miguel Almiron 45' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 12'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Chelsea
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Kieran Trippier 27' goal
  • goal Anthony Gordon 9'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Newcastle
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Joe Willock 67' goal
Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Kai Havertz 39' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 58' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 87' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 89' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 50'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 80'
  • yellowcard Dwight Gayle 90'+2'

Form Data

Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 2 Leeds
Chelsea 0 - 1 Liverpool
Man City 1 - 1 Chelsea
Crystal Palace 1 - 3 Chelsea
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Chelsea
Newcastle 3 - 0 Wolves
Blackburn 1 - 1 Newcastle
Arsenal 4 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Nott'm Forest 2 - 3 Newcastle
Newcastle 4 - 4 Luton

Build-up

Team News
News