Premier League Gameweek 24
Crystal Palace
Feb 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Selhurst Park
Chelsea
  • Jefferson Lerma 30' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 70' yellowcard
  • Daniel Munoz 80' yellowcard
  • goal Conor Gallagher 47'
  • goal Conor Gallagher 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 90'+2'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 90'+4'

Crystal Palace vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
Brighton 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jean-Philippe Mateta

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2024 2.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 4 Wolves
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Crystal Palace 35.73% ▼ (-0.53)
Draw 25.18% ▲ (+0.09)
Chelsea 39.09% ▲ (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.02% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.43% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 2.5 46.57% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 31.15% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 68.85% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 4.5 15.47% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 4.5 84.52% ▲ (+0.30)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 74.61% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 0.5 25.39% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 39.8% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 60.2% ▲ (+0.69)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 76.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 42.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 57.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 35.73%
Draw 25.17%
Chelsea 39.09%
Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 35.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.17%
Chelsea
0-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.09%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Chelsea
Dec 27, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Crystal Palace
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 13' goal
  • Moises Caicedo 52' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pochettino 53' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 80' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 89' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Olise 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Chris Richards 73'
  • yellowcard Tyrick Mitchell 80'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Chelsea
Jan 15, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Crystal Palace
  • Kai Havertz 64' goal
Premier League Gameweek 9
Crystal Palace
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Odsonne Edouard 7' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 38'
  • goal Conor Gallagher 90'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Apr 17, 2022 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Crystal Palace
  • Kai Havertz 38' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 65' goal
  • Mason Mount 76' goal
Premier League Gameweek 26
Crystal Palace
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Michael Olise 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malang Sarr 62'
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 89'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Chelsea
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Crystal Palace
  • Marcos Alonso 27' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 40' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 58' goal

Form Data

Brighton 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 3 - 2 Sheff Utd
Arsenal 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
Everton 1 - 0 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Everton
Crystal Palace 3 - 1 Brentford
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 4 Wolves
Liverpool 4 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Chelsea 6 - 1 Middlesbrough
Chelsea 1 - 0 Fulham

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