Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2024 8.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Anfield
  • Diogo Jota 23' goal
  • Conor Bradley 39' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 47' yellowcard
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 65' goal
  • Ibrahima Konate 76' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 79' goal
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 11'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 35'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 41'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 71'

Liverpool vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 4.30pm
Bournemouth 0 - 4 Liverpool
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 12.30pm
Chelsea 1 - 0 Fulham
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 60.49%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 19.99% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 3-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 60.49% (-2.05)
Draw 19.51% (+0.42)
Chelsea 19.99% (+1.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.02% (+1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.41% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 31.58% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 46.92% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 53.08% (-0.79)
Over 4.5 27.97% (+0.69)
Under 4.5 72.03% (-0.69)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 89.74% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 10.25% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 66.39% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 33.61% (+0.69)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% (+1.97)
Under 0.5 28.66% (-1.97)
Over 1.5 35.52% (+2.39)
Under 1.5 64.47% (-2.40)

Score analysis

Liverpool 60.49%
Draw 19.51%
Chelsea 19.99%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.50)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.16)
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.34)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.46)
3-2 @ 4.52% (+0.15)
4-1 @ 4.12% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.31)
4-2 @ 2.57% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.10)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.17)
5-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-98.33)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 60.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.36% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.88% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 19.51%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 5.23% (+0.31)
0-1 @ 3.67% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 2.3% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.24)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 19.99%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 4' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 32' yellowcard
  • Axel Disasi 37' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 85' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Diaz 18'
  • yellowcard Diogo Jota 32'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 68'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 89'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Apr 4, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2023 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
May 14, 2022 4.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Reece James 77' yellowcard
EFL Cup
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Mateo Kovacic 90' yellowcard
  • N'Golo Kante 99' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 105'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 105'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2022 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Christian Pulisic 17' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 42' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 1'
  • goal Sadio Mane 9'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 26'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 83'

Build-up

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