FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
5 - 2
Norwich

Jones (16'), Nunez (28'), Jota (53'), van Dijk (63'), Gravenberch (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gibson (22'), Sainz (69')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 73.51%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Norwich City
73.51% ( -0.16)	14.86% ( 0.18)	11.63% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.36% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.03% (

-1.06)

25.97% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.83% (

-1.37)

46.17% (

1.37)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.91% (

-0.26)

6.09% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.86% (

-0.74)

23.13% (

0.74)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

-0.83)

34.66% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61% (

-0.9)

71.39% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 73.51%

Norwich City 11.63%

Draw 14.86%

Liverpool	Draw	Norwich City
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.35% Total : 73.51%	1-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 14.86%	1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 11.63%