Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 73.51%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.