FA Cup
Jan 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Luke McCormick 20' goal
  • Sam Finley 42' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Sara 53'
  • goal Adam Idah 59'
  • yellowcard Jon Rowe 61'
  • goal Kenny McLean 87'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 90'+7'

Bristol Rovers vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Norwich City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result

Bristol Rovers 44.22% (-0.94)
Draw 23.89% (+0.38)
Norwich City 31.88% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.48% (-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.42% (-1.55)
Under 2.5 41.57% (+1.54)
Over 3.5 36.02% (-1.58)
Under 3.5 63.97% (+1.57)
Over 4.5 19.03% (-1.21)
Under 4.5 80.96% (+1.21)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 80.94% (-1.01)
Under 0.5 19.05% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 49.36% (-1.69)
Under 1.5 50.64% (+1.69)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 74.72% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 25.27% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 39.96% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 60.03% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 44.22%
Draw 23.89%
Norwich City 31.89%
Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.98% (+0.30)
2-0 @ 6.62% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 44.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.82% (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.89%
Norwich City
1-2 @ 7.55% (+0.12)
0-1 @ 6.62% (+0.38)
0-2 @ 4.55% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.46% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Carrow Road
  • Ashley Barnes 12' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 12' goal
  • goal Grant Ward 17'
  • goal Grant Ward 17'
League One
May 1, 2010 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Byron Anthony 39' yellowcard
  • Chris Lines 84' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Martin 31'
  • goal Stephen Hughes 68'
League One
Oct 3, 2009 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Chris Martin 9' goal
  • Jens Berthel Askou 26' yellowcard
  • Wes Hoolahan 31' goal
  • Grant Holt 33' goal
  • Simon Lappin 38' yellowcard
  • Grant Holt 40' goal
  • Adam Drury 59' yellowcard
  • Jamie Cureton 90' goal
  • goal Jeff Hughes 26'