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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 31.89% ( | 25.49% ( | 42.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( | 48.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( | 70.91% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( | 28.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( | 64.67% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( | 22.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( | 56.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.89% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.61% |