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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Wigan
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers will certainly pose a tough test at Oakwell and have the quality to hurt Barnsley, but the Reds do have more quality throughout their squad, and with plenty of momentum of their own, we fancy Collins's men to come out on top in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
55.06% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 22.33% (-0.026 -0.03) 22.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (0.071000000000005 0.07)41.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (0.071999999999996 0.07)63.94% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)15.01% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (0.086999999999996 0.09)43.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 55.06%
    Bristol Rovers 22.61%
    Draw 22.33%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bristol Rovers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Barnsley
Sinclair (81')
Cadden (7')
Cotter (23'), Russell (63'), Kane (82')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Cole (3'), Williams (13'), Benson (56')

Finley (35'), Coutts (35'), Connolly (58')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Barnsley
Rodman (71', 92')
Upson (77')
Moore (12')
Lindsay (37'), Mowatt (56')
Lindsay (44')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Barnsley
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Mowatt (11')
Moncur (39'), Mowatt (45'), Davies (90')

Kelly (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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