League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 3
Barnsley

Chislett (72'), Shorrock (90+3')
Lowe (75'), Garrity (78'), Debrah (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Phillips (17'), McAtee (32', 37')
Connell (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Barnsley
31.83% ( 0.02)	25.3% ( 0.15)	42.87% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99% (

-0.67)

48.01% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82% (

-0.62)

70.18% (

0.62)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

-0.31)

28.46% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78% (

-0.4)

64.22% (

0.4)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

-0.37)

22.34% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

-0.55)

55.82% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 31.83%

Barnsley 42.87%

Draw 25.3%

Port Vale	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.83%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.87%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Barnsley

Port Vale

17.6%

Draw

5.9%

Barnsley

76.5%

Head to Head

Aug 5, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 1

Barnsley

7-0

Port Vale

Cole (23', 47', 53'), Jones (45' og.), Kitching (60'), Russell (64'), Dallas (90+6')
Styles (18'), Kane (25'), Watters (25'), Russell (72'), Roberts (89'), Shepherd (90+1')

Ojo (39'), Cass (63')

> Preview

Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 32

Port Vale

1-3

Barnsley

Smith (14')

Connell (1'), Kitching (21'), Phillips (61')

Nov 23, 2022 7.30pm

Second Round

Port Vale