League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 2
Wigan

Chislett (21', 43', 83')
Devine (59'), Balmer (67'), Massey (68'), Ripley (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sze (63'), Wyke (77')
Jones (59'), McManaman (67'), Tickle (83'), Sze (85'), Smith (90')

Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Wigan Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 3-3 Stevenage (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Wigan Athletic
34.49% ( 0.55)	27.99% ( -0.01)	37.53% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 47.74% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.71% (

0.11)

58.29% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.09% (

0.09)

78.92% (

-0.08)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.14% (

0.42)

31.86% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7% (

0.48)

68.3% (

-0.47)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.06% (

-0.26)

29.94% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95% (

-0.32)

66.05% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 34.48%

Wigan Athletic 37.52%

Draw 27.99%

Port Vale	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.52%