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FA Cup

Port Vale
FA Cup | Second Round Replays
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Stevenage

Port Vale
3 - 3
Stevenage

Garrity (6', 55'), Loft (114')
Iacovitti (69'), Ripley (90'), Garrity (106')
FT
(aet)
White (81'), Hemmings (90+6'), Thompson (119')
Thompson (50'), Thompson (50')
Stevenage win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%).

Result
Port ValeDrawStevenage
34.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.69% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)77.65% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)64.51% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.13%
    Stevenage 38.31%
    Draw 27.55%
Port ValeDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.13%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 38.31%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Stevenage

Port Vale
29.4%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
70.6%
17
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-1
Port Vale
Reid (69')
Ashby-Hammond (64'), Reid (80'), Piergianni (81'), Wildin (90+3')
Ojo (76' pen.)
Loft (78'), Ikpeazu (81'), Lowe (90+6')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Stevenage
0-0
Port Vale
Roberts (34'), Thompson (50'), Smith (80')
Arblaster (29'), Smith (38'), Balmer (45')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Port Vale
2-0
Stevenage
O'Neill (6' og.), Edmondson (12')
Walker (2')

Upson (87')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stevenage
1-1
Port Vale
Norris (33')
Rodney (20')
Smith (13'), Wilson (30'), Walker (52')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Port Vale
0-0
Stevenage
Conlon (19')
Hutton (16')