AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Port Vale

Exeter
0 - 1
Port Vale


Aimson (72'), Scott (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arblaster (29')
Grant (54'), Debrah (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale
36.96% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)25.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)37.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.21% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)48.93% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)71.02% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)25.79% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)60.74% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.6% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.96%
    Port Vale 37.31%
    Draw 25.72%
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.31%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Port Vale
1-0
Exeter
Forrester (60')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
> Preview
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Port Vale
0-0
Exeter
Diabate (26')
> Preview