/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fporlog_1.png)
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Will Aimson
72'
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James Scott
84'
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Will Aimson
90'+1'
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Oliver Arblaster
29'
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Conor Grant
54'
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Jesse Debrah
85'
Exeter City vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fexeter-city.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result
Exeter City
36.96%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
25.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Port Vale
37.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.21%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.07%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
48.93%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
28.98%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
71.02%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
13.97%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
86.03%
▲
(+0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
74.2%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
25.79%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
39.25%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
60.74%
▲
(+0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5
74.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
39.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
60.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Exeter City
36.96%
Draw
25.72%
Port Vale
37.31%
Exeter City
1-0
@
8.95%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 36.96%
2-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 36.96%
Draw
1-1
@
12.19%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
Port Vale
0-1
@
9%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 37.31%
1-2 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 37.31%