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Cambridge United
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Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
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Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Port Vale
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Shrewsbury Town
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Wycombe Wanderers
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Port Vale
Exeter
0 - 1
Port Vale

Aimson (72'), Scott (84')
Aimson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arblaster (29')
Grant (54'), Debrah (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Port Vale

Both teams will be desperate to claim all three points following a poor run of results, but we think that a lack of confidence in the two squads could result in a cagey affair finishing honours even. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale
36.96% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 25.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 37.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.21% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)48.93% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)71.02% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)25.79% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)60.74% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.6% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.96%
    Port Vale 37.31%
    Draw 25.72%
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.31%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth352110458302873
2Derby CountyDerby34206859312866
3Bolton WanderersBolton33206760372366
4Barnsley33189660372363
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough33178861412059
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd351691057441357
7Stevenage33168947341356
8Blackpool341581154401453
9Leyton Orient34149114242051
10Lincoln CityLincoln341212103732548
11Northampton TownNorthampton34146144750-348
12Bristol Rovers34137144749-246
13Wigan AthleticWigan34147134843541
14Exeter CityExeter35117172648-2240
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe33911134144-338
16Reading35119154652-638
17Cambridge UnitedCambridge33108153141-1038
18Burton Albion33108152943-1438
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury34115182646-2038
20Charlton AthleticCharlton34713144752-534
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham3296172843-1533
22Port Vale3287173252-2031
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood3469193456-2227
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3348212757-3020

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