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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
The DW Stadium
Stockport County

Wigan
2 - 0
Stockport

Smith (17'), Morrison (23')
Smith (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Knoyle (38'), Powell (54'), Sarcevic (77'), Olaofe (85'), Sarcevic (85')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Wigan Athletic and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: York City 0-1 Wigan
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Stockport County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Aldershot 2-2 Stockport
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawStockport County
35.82% (-0.70500000000001 -0.71)24.09% (0.199 0.2)40.08% (0.506 0.51)
Both teams to score 60.97% (-0.85 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55% (-1.065 -1.07)41.45% (1.066 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15% (-1.089 -1.09)63.85% (1.09 1.09)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)22.98% (0.857 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-1.274 -1.27)56.77% (1.276 1.28)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)20.84% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (-0.348 -0.35)53.53% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 35.83%
    Stockport County 40.08%
    Draw 24.09%
Wigan AthleticDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.04% (0.161 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35.83%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.227 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.308 0.31)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.203 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 40.08%

How you voted: Wigan vs Stockport

Wigan Athletic
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Stockport County
11.8%
17