Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.