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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Stevenage |
| 49.43% ( | 24.98% ( | 25.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( | 50.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( | 72.12% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( | 20.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% ( | 52.68% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( | 34.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( | 70.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.43% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0-2 @ 4% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.58% |