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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Exeter City |
| 58.93% ( | 21.68% ( | 19.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.16% ( | 42.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% ( | 65.24% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( | 14.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.07% ( | 41.92% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( | 35.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( | 72.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 5-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.93% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.39% |