Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.