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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol Rovers

Norwich
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Barnes (12', 12')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ward (17', 17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Wycombe 3-2 Bristol Rovers
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol Rovers
51.61%22.95%25.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.84%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.59%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)65.69%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 51.61%
    Bristol Rovers 25.44%
    Draw 22.95%
Norwich CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-1 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 25.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol Rovers

Norwich City
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
40
Head to Head
May 1, 2010 3pm
Bristol Rovers
0-3
Norwich

Anthony (39'), Lines (84')
Hughes (68'), Martin (31')
Oct 3, 2009 3pm
Norwich
5-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoolahan (31' pen.), Martin (9'), Holt (33', 40'), Cureton (90')
Berthel Askou (26'), Lappin (38'), Drury (59')
Hughes (26' pen.)