Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
1 - 1
Southampton

Sargent (78')
Stacey (23'), McCallum (27'), Sara (54'), Hernandez (87'), McLean (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Armstrong (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Southampton
43.98% ( -0.27)	23.77% ( 0.02)	32.24% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 61.07% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.12% (

0.01)

40.87% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74% (

0.01)

63.26% (

-0.01)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

-0.11)

18.86% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.66% (

-0.18)

50.33% (

0.19)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28% (

0.16)

24.72% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.73% (

0.21)

59.26% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 43.98%

Southampton 32.24%

Draw 23.77%

Norwich City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.98%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.24%