Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm

5

0

HT : 1 0

FT St. Mary's Stadium

Joe Aribo 17'
Jan Bednarek 34'
Joe Aribo 38'
Samuel Edozie 48'
Ryan Fraser 74'
Ryan Fraser 87'
Che Adams 90'+3'

Liam Cullen 24'
Josh Tymon 55'
Jay Fulton 56'
Joe Allen 83'

Southampton vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Southampton vs. Swansea - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Southampton vs. Swansea - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 24 Dec 2023 22:24

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

W
W
D
D
W
W

Championship

W
W
D
D
W
W

Last game

Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm

QPR 0 - 1 Southampton

Goals scored

91

Top scorer

Adam Armstrong

Swansea City

All competitions

W
L
D
W
D
L

Championship

W
L
D
W
D
L

Last game

Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm

Swansea 2 - 1 Preston

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Liam Cullen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result

Southampton 50.23%

Draw 22.44%

Swansea City 27.33% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

62.68% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.61% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 37.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 40.39% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 59.61% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 22.45% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 77.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 84.84% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 15.16% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 56.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 43.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 73.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 26.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 38.81% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 61.19% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton 50.23%

Draw 22.43%

Swansea City 27.33%

Southampton

2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 5.95%

3-0 @ 4.43%

3-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 2.81%

4-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)

4-2 @ 1.88%

5-1 @ 1.06%

Other @ 4.04%

Total : 50.23%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 6.35%

0-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.31%

Total : 22.43%

Swansea City

1-2 @ 6.73%

0-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.01%

2-3 @ 2.84%

0-3 @ 1.6%

1-4 @ 1.01%

Other @ 3.25%

Total : 27.33%

Head to Head

Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm

2

3

HT : 0 1

ET Swansea.com Stadium

Ryan Bennett 43'
Brandon Cooper 45'+1'
Liam Walsh 59'
Joel Piroe 77'
Yan Dhanda 90'+3'
Jan Bednarek 94'

Yan Valery 3'
Nathan Redmond 8'
Yan Valery 30'
Mohamed Elyounoussi 95'
Shane Long 102'

Jul 31, 2021 3.00pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT

Mohammed Salisu 13'

Nathan Tella 14'
Nathan Redmond 22'
Stuart Armstrong 57'

Aug 29, 2020 1.00pm

7

1

HT : 7 0

FT

Che Adams 6'
Nathan Redmond 13'
Danny Ings 20'
James Ward-Prowse 34'
Ryan Bertrand 35'
Danny Ings 42'
James Ward-Prowse 45'

Jay Fulton 110'

May 8, 2018 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Ki Sung-yueng 20'
Federico Fernandez 94'

Oriol Romeu 38'
Manolo Gabbiadini 72'

Aug 12, 2017 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Nathan Redmond 16'
Oriol Romeu 33'

Jay Fulton 90'

Jan 31, 2017 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Alfie Mawson 38'
Jack Cork 44'
Gylfi Sigurdsson 70'
Federico Fernandez 82'

Shane Long 57'

Form Data

QPR 0 - 1 Southampton

Southampton 4 - 0 Blackburn

Coventry 1 - 1 Southampton

Watford 1 - 1 Southampton

Southampton 2 - 0 Cardiff

Southampton 1 - 0 Bristol City

Swansea 2 - 1 Preston

Swansea 1 - 2 Middlesbrough

Stoke 1 - 1 Swansea

Rotherham 1 - 2 Swansea

Swansea 1 - 1 Huddersfield

Leeds 3 - 1 Swansea