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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Preston North End logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Preston

Paterson (60', 90+5')
Grimes (30'), Lowe (32'), Lowe (32'), Cabango (38'), Paterson (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Millar (67')
McCann (45+5'), Holmes (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
47.33% (0.073 0.07)25.62% (-0.038 -0.04)27.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (0.136 0.14)51.72% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.116 0.12)73.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (0.088999999999999 0.09)21.86% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (0.136 0.14)55.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.042999999999992 0.04)33.82% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.047999999999998 0.05)70.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.33%
    Preston North End 27.05%
    Draw 25.62%
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Preston

Swansea City
37.0%
Draw
22.2%
Preston North End
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Preston
2-1
Swansea
Hughes (67'), Holmes (79')
Ledson (11'), Browne (48')
Ashby (33')
N (48')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-2
Preston
Piroe (2', 90+4'), Allen (35'), Darling (44')
Cannon (48'), Parrott (71')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Preston
1-0
Swansea
Potts (30')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
1-0
Preston
Manning (51')
Manning (13'), Latibeaudiere (87'), Smith (88')

Cunningham (65'), Evans (87'), Bauer (90+1')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Preston
3-1
Swansea
Van den Berg (21'), Riis Jakobsen (45+1'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (59'), Johnson (61'), Whiteman (71'), Sinclair (85')
Piroe (19')
Benda (51')