Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Jun 19, 2020 at 6pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 3
Southampton

Aarons (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ings (49'), Armstrong (54'), Redmond (79')
Ings (73')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Southampton
37.19%	24.85%	37.96%

Both teams to score 58.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.06%

44.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71%

67.29%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16%

23.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98%

58.02%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57%

23.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57%

57.43%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 37.19%

Southampton 37.96%

Draw 24.85%

Norwich City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 8.33% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.19%	1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.96%