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Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Norwich logo

Southampton
2 - 0
Norwich

Adams (36'), Romeu (88')
Salisu (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pukki (59'), Williams (90')

Preview: Southampton vs. Norwich City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Southampton will be looking to continue their impressive form in the Premier League when they welcome relegation-threatened Norwich City to St Mary's on Friday night.

The Saints are currently 10th in the table, one point behind ninth-placed Brighton & Hove Albion, while Norwich are back at the bottom, now five points from the safety of 17th position.


Match preview

Southampton's Che Adams celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 12, 2022© Reuters

Southampton have found an impressive run of form at a vital stage of the season, losing just one of their last 11 matches in all competitions, which has seen them advance in the FA Cup and move up into 10th spot in the table, just one point behind ninth-placed Brighton heading into Friday's clash with Norwich.

Since losing at Wolverhampton Wanderers in the middle of January, the Saints have beaten Tottenham Hotspur and Everton in the league, in addition to drawing with Manchester City and Manchester United.

Ralph Hasenhuttl's side secured all three points against Everton last weekend courtesy of second-half goals from Stuart Armstrong and Shane Long, and they will be bidding to record their eighth Premier League victory of the season against the struggling Canaries.

Southampton have only lost one of their 12 home league matches this season, which is a record only bettered by Liverpool (zero), but they have shared the points on seven occasions at St Mary's, and their volume of draws has prevented them from challenging for a potential European spot.

Hasenhuttl's side will face West Ham in the FA Cup either side of their league games against Norwich and Aston Villa, and it will be fascinating to see what the team can achieve this term, particularly as they have finished 17th, 16th and 15th in three of their last four Premier League campaigns.

Norwich City's Milot Rashica celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 19, 2022© Reuters

Norwich, meanwhile, won back-to-back league matches against Everton and Watford last month before opening February with a welcome point at home to Crystal Palace.

The impressive run of form moved the Canaries off the bottom of the division, but they are back down in 20th following successive defeats to Manchester City and Liverpool, conceding seven times in the two matches.

Dean Smith's side have two huge matches against Brentford and Leeds United in the early stages of March, which are the contests that will decide whether they will avoid relegation back to the Championship.

The Canaries are only one point behind 18th-placed Watford but sit five behind 17th-placed Newcastle, who also have a game in hand, and it would be fair to say that the Magpies are looking impressive in their battle to avoid a shock relegation to the Championship.

Norwich have not been able to secure back-to-back seasons of top-flight football since 2012-13 and 2013-14, having dropped straight back into the Championship following their last two promotions, and Smith faces a huge battle to get them out of trouble in the coming weeks.

Southampton Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Southampton form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Norwich City Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Norwich City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Southampton's Armando Broja reacts on February 9, 2022© Reuters

Southampton will again be without the services of Nathan Tella, Alex McCarthy and Lyanco through injury, but Romain Perraud is available following an illness.

Kyle Walker-Peters is likely to drop out of the side to allow Perraud to return, but the side could otherwise be unchanged from the victory over Everton.

Neither Che Adams nor Armando Broja were on the scoresheet against the Toffees, but the duo have been in impressive form in recent weeks so should continue in attack, with the likes of Long, Adam Armstrong, Theo Walcott and Moussa Djenepo starting on the bench.

As for Norwich, Lukas Rupp, Adam Idah, Tim Krul, Jacob Sorensen and Andrew Omobamidele will all miss the match at St Mary's through injury.

The visitors have no fresh concerns heading into Friday's contest, though, and the team is expected to be similar to the one that took the lead at Anfield last time out before losing in the second half.

Milot Rashica was on the scoresheet against Jurgen Klopp's side and should continue in a forward area, while Teemu Pukki and Josh Sargent should also start, but there could be a change in midfield, with Przemysław Placheta pushing to be involved from the first whistle.

Southampton possible starting lineup:
Forster; Livramento, Bednarek, Salisu, Perraud; Ward-Prowse, Romeu; S Armstrong, Elyounoussi; Adams, Broja

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Gunn; Aarons, Kabak, Gibson, Williams; Placheta, Normann, McLean, Rashica; Pukki, Sargent


SM words green background

We say: Southampton 2-1 Norwich City

Southampton have won their last four home games against Norwich in all competitions, while the Saints are unbeaten in their last 10 matches at St Mary's. Norwich are capable of finding the back of the net on Friday evening, but we are expecting Hasenhuttl's side to collect all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:478910:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11965:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Southampton vs Norwich

Southampton
85.5%
Draw
8.8%
Norwich City
5.6%
249
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4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
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12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
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RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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