Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
  • Patrick Bamford 16' goal
  • Junior Firpo 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 44'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Giannoulis 47'

Leeds United vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 12.00pm
Leeds 2 - 1 Preston
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
Norwich 2 - 0 West Brom
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Joshua Sargent

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 63.48% (-0.04)
Draw 19.78% (+0.01)
Norwich City 16.73% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.42% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 38.58% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39.12% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.88% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.44% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.56% (-0.03)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 88.45%
Under 0.5 11.55% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 63.51% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 36.49% (-0.01)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 63.71% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 36.29% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 26.93% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 73.07% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Leeds United 63.48%
Draw 19.78%
Norwich City 16.73%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.12%
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 63.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.78%
Norwich City
1-2 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 16.73%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Shane Duffy 4' goal
  • Shane Duffy 10' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Sara 34' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Sara 43' goal
  • yellowcard Crysencio Summerville 19'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 45'+1'
  • goal Shane Duffy 63' (OG)
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 77'
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 85'
  • yellowcard Illan Meslier 87'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rodrigo 14' goal
  • Luke Ayling 26' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 71' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 77' yellowcard
  • Joe Gelhardt 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Angus Gunn 15'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 77'
  • goal Kenny McLean 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2021 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kenny McLean 46' yellowcard
  • Andrew Omobamidele 58' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo 32'
  • yellowcard Jack Harrison 44'
  • goal Raphinha 56'
  • goal Rodrigo 60'
  • yellowcard Jamie Shackleton 67'
  • yellowcard Cody Drameh 79'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 2, 2019 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
  • Tyler Roberts 52' yellowcard
  • Kemar Roofe 65' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 74' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 91' goal
  • goal Mario Vrancic 5'
  • yellowcard Tim Krul 26'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 35'
  • goal Mario Vrancic 78'
  • yellowcard Marco Stiepermann 83'
Championship Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2018 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk)
  • Tom Trybull 50' yellowcard
  • goal Mateusz Klich 21'
  • goal Ezgjan Alioski 26'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 62'
  • goal Pablo Hernandez 67'
  • yellowcard Gaetano Berardi 90'
Championship
Apr 28, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Grant Hanley 33' yellowcard
  • Wes Hoolahan 45' goal
  • Josh Murphy 70' goal
  • goal Kalvin Phillips 39'
  • yellowcard Matthew Pennington 43'
  • yellowcard Pontus Jansson 95'