FA Cup
Jan 7, 2024 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Josh Knight 35' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Ampadu 34'
  • yellowcard Willy Gnonto 39'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 47'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 67'
  • goal Ethan Ampadu 90'

Peterborough United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Peterborough United 43.71% (+0.24)
Draw 23.27% (+0.12)
Leeds United 33.02% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.25% (-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.85% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 38.15% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 39.58% (-0.73)
Under 3.5 60.42% (+0.72)
Over 4.5 21.8% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 78.2% (+0.58)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 82.12% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 17.88% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 51.34% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 48.66% (+0.31)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 77.02% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 22.97% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 43.23% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 56.76% (+0.76)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 43.71%
Draw 23.27%
Leeds United 33.02%
Peterborough United
2-1 @ 8.95% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.07% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 6.09% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.49% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 43.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.11% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.27%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.04% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.02%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 23, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Shaq Coulthirst 48' goal
  • Shaq Coulthirst 65' goal
  • goal Alex Mowatt 15'
Championship
Mar 12, 2013 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Samuel Bryam 57' goal
  • Stephen Warnock 70' yellowcard
  • Paul Green 86' yellowcard
  • Jason Pearce 90' yellowcard
  • goal Dwight Gayle 15'
Championship
Aug 25, 2012 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emile Sinclair 28' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Zakuani 41' yellowcard
  • Mark Little 70' yellowcard
  • Micheal Bostwick 73' goal
  • Daniel Swanson 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Becchio 7'
  • goal Luciano Becchio 50'
Championship
Apr 14, 2012 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Billy Paynter 45' goal
  • Ross McCormack 47' goal
  • Ross McCormack 48' goal
  • Billy Paynter 73' goal
  • yellowcard Grant McCann 22'
  • yellowcard Shaun Brisley 43'
Championship
Oct 22, 2011 12.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gabby Zakuani 23' goal
  • Lee Frecklington 31' yellowcard
  • Lee Tomlin 37' redcard
  • Grant McCann 60' yellowcard
  • Mark Little 88' goal
  • goal Adam Clayton 54'
League One
Jan 24, 2009 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabian Delph 33' yellowcard
  • Jermaine Beckford 62' goal
  • Jermaine Beckford 71' goal
  • Jonny Howson 90' goal
  • goal Craig Mackail-Smith 79'