FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
0 - 3
Leeds

Knight (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ampadu (34', 90'), Bamford (47')
Gnonto (39'), Ampadu (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Derby 2-3 Peterborough
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Leeds United
43.71% ( 0.23)	23.27% ( 0.11)	33.02% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 63.25% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.85% (

-0.67)

38.15% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58% (

-0.72)

60.42% (

0.72)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

-0.18)

17.88% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.34% (

-0.31)

48.66% (

0.31)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

-0.51)

22.97% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23% (

-0.76)

56.76% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 43.71%

Leeds United 33.02%

Draw 23.27%

Peterborough United	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 43.71%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.02%