AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Derby logo
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Peterborough United

Derby
2 - 3
Peterborough

Collins (1', 60')
Forsyth (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burrows (9'), Poku (84'), Jade-Jones (90+4')
Kyprianou (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Derby County and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPeterborough United
44.37% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)23.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)31.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 60.89% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)41.04% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (0.087000000000003 0.09)63.43% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.097999999999999 0.1)25.03% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.133 0.13)59.7% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 44.37%
    Peterborough United 31.85%
    Draw 23.77%
Derby CountyDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Derby vs Peterborough

Derby County
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Peterborough United
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Peterborough
2-4
Derby
Clarke-Harris (23'), Poku (90')
Burrows (38'), Ferguson (39'), Kioso (67')
Ferguson (0')
Waghorn (29', 39', 45'), Cashin (37')
Forsyth (86')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
2-0
Derby
Mason-Clark (52'), Ogbeta (83')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Derby
2-1
Peterborough
Knight (88'), McGoldrick (90+2')
Stearman (64')
Knight (69')
Taylor (26'), Thompson (30'), Burrows (41')
Thompson (56')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
1-0
Peterborough
Sibley (90+2')
Byrne (76'), Davies (80'), Sibley (90+3'), Allsop (90+4'), Morrison (90+7')
Lawrence (47')

Coulson (31'), Brown (59'), Jade-Jones (70'), Thompson (76'), Knight (87')
Coulson (35')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Peterborough
2-1
Derby
Burrows (90+1'), Dembele (90+9')
Beevers (25'), Thompson (63'), Butler (83'), Dembele (90+9')
Stretton (77')
Sibley (90+1'), Forsyth (90+3')
> Match Report