League One Gameweek 26
Derby
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Peterborough
  • James Collins 1' goal
  • Craig Forsyth 41' yellowcard
  • James Collins 60' goal
  • goal Harrison Burrows 9'
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 30'
  • goal Kwame Poku 84'
  • goal Ricky Jade-Jones 90'+4'

Derby County vs Peterborough United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Oxford Utd 2 - 3 Derby
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
James Collins

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Peterborough 2 - 2 Barnsley
Goals scored
90
Top scorer
Ephron Mason-Clark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 44.37% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 23.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Peterborough United 31.85% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.89% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 41.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 36.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 63.43% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 19.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 80.55% ▼ (-0.07)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 81.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 74.96% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 25.03% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 40.29% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 59.7% ▼ (-0.14)

Score analysis

Derby County 44.37%
Draw 23.77%
Peterborough United 31.85%
Derby County
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 44.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
Peterborough United
1-2 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.85%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 5
Peterborough
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 4
FT Weston Homes Stadium
Derby
  • Darren Ferguson 0' redcard
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 23' goal
  • Harrison Burrows 38' yellowcard
  • Darren Ferguson 39' yellowcard
  • Peter Kioso 67' yellowcard
  • Kwame Poku 90' goal
  • goal Martyn Waghorn 29'
  • goal Eiran Cashin 37'
  • goal Martyn Waghorn 39'
  • goal Martyn Waghorn 45'
  • yellowcard Craig Forsyth 86'
League One Gameweek 38
Peterborough
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
Derby
  • Ephron Mason-Clark 52' goal
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 83' goal
League One Gameweek 6
Derby
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Peterborough
  • Richard Stearman 64' yellowcard
  • Jason Knight 88' goal
  • David McGoldrick 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Taylor 26'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 30'
  • yellowcard Harrison Burrows 41'
  • redcard Nathan Thompson 56'
  • goal Josh Knight 69'
Championship Gameweek 33
Derby
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Peterborough
  • Tom Lawrence 47' redcard
  • Nathan Byrne 76' yellowcard
  • Curtis Davies 80' yellowcard
  • Louie Sibley 90'+2' goal
  • Louie Sibley 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ryan Allsop 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ravel Morrison 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Coulson 31'
  • redcard Hayden Coulson 35'
  • yellowcard Reece Brown 59'
  • yellowcard Ricky Jade-Jones 70'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 76'
  • yellowcard Josh Knight 87'
Championship Gameweek 2
Peterborough
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
Derby
  • Mark Beevers 25' yellowcard
  • Nathan Thompson 63' yellowcard
  • Dan Butler 83' yellowcard
  • Harrison Burrows 90'+1' goal
  • Siriki Dembele 90'+9' goal
  • Siriki Dembele 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Stretton 77'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Craig Forsyth 90'+3'
Championship
Derby
Apr 20, 2013 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Peterborough
  • John Brayford 18' yellowcard
  • Craig Bryson 41' goal
  • Chris Martin 50' goal
  • Richard Keogh 52' goal
  • Jamie Ward 54' yellowcard
  • Frank Fielding 62' redcard
  • Paul Coutts 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Swanson 50'
  • goal Grant McCann 64'
  • yellowcard Grant McCann 84'

Form Data

Oxford Utd 2 - 3 Derby
Wigan 0 - 1 Derby
Derby 3 - 1 Lincoln
Derby 1 - 1 Wycombe
Leyton Orient 0 - 3 Derby
Derby 3 - 0 Fleetwood
Peterborough 2 - 2 Barnsley
Peterborough 2 - 2 Reading
Shrewsbury 1 - 2 Peterborough
Fleetwood 0 - 1 Peterborough
Peterborough 3 - 0 Oxford Utd
Peterborough 3 - 0 Arsenal U21s