League One Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The DW Stadium
  • Liam Morrison 14' yellowcard
  • Baba Adeeko 15' yellowcard
  • Sean Clare 36' yellowcard
  • Callum Lang 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Hourihane 7'
  • goal Curtis Nelson 19'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 35'
  • yellowcard James Collins 45'+2'

Wigan Athletic vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 0 Wigan
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Stephen Humphrys

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2023 7.45pm
Derby 3 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
James Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result

Wigan Athletic 25.61% (-0.03)
Draw 25.01% (+0.01)
Derby County 49.38% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.39% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.75% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.25% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.79% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.2% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.17% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.82% (+0.03)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 65.79% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.21% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.09% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.9% (+0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 79.63% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.37% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.22% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.77% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Wigan Athletic 25.61%
Draw 25%
Derby County 49.37%
Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.97% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25%
Derby County
0-1 @ 11.08% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.37%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Korey Smith 37' yellowcard
  • Eiran Cashin 48' yellowcard
  • Craig Forsyth 57' goal
  • goal Charlie Wyke 37'
  • yellowcard Charlie Hughes 49'
  • goal Charlie Wyke 72'
  • yellowcard Matt Smith 88'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Evans 61' yellowcard
  • Joe Garner 81' goal
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 22'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 30'
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 43'
  • goal Martyn Waghorn 93'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Graeme Shinnie 64' yellowcard
  • Scott Malone 65' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 91' goal
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 51'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macleod 92'
Championship Gameweek 33
Mar 5, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
  • Bradley Johnson 41' yellowcard
  • Mason Bennett 59' yellowcard
  • Mason Bennett 62' goal
  • Harry Wilson 63' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 71' yellowcard
  • Scott Malone 78' goal
  • goal Gavin Massey 25'
  • yellowcard Sam Morsy 37'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 8, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The DW Stadium (Wigan)
  • Kal Naismith 15' redcard
  • Sam Morsy 32' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Marriott 21'
  • yellowcard Harry Wilson 32'
  • yellowcard Craig Bryson 76'
Championship
Dec 31, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bradley Johnson 57' yellowcard
  • Will Hughes 87' yellowcard