League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

The DW Stadium

Wigan
0 - 1
Derby

Morrison (14'), Adeeko (15'), Clare (36'), Lang (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nelson (19')
Hourihane (7'), Mendez-Laing (35'), Collins (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 3-1 Lincoln
Thursday, December 21 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Wigan Athletic	Draw	Derby County
25.61% ( -0.02)	25.01% ( 0)	49.38% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.39% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

-0.04)

50.25% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

-0.03)

72.2% (

0.03)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

-0.03)

34.21% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09% (

-0.04)

70.9% (

0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

-0.01)

20.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

-0.01)

52.77% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Wigan Athletic 25.61%

Derby County 49.37%

Draw 25%

Wigan Athletic	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.61%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.37%